Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
Almería vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 3
ALM
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
HER
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
ALM
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALM
20%
24%
55%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 1
OSA
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
OSA
2 - 1
BET
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
OSA
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
OSA
0 - 0
RAY
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RMA
7 - 1
OSA
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | -1 |