Almería vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
ECI
2 - 1
ALM
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
ALM
4 - 0
SRQ
72%
18%
9%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
SFE
0 - 2
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
ALM
2 - 0
XER
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
YEC
2 - 1
ALM
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 1
MEL
46%
30%
25%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
BET
2 - 0
MMA
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
ECI
0 - 0
MMA
60%
25%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
MMA
0 - 1
SRQ
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
SFE
4 - 0
MMA
52%
27%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |