Almería vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
XER
0 - 1
ALM
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 0
LEV
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 1
ALM
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ALM
0 - 0
SLA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
REC
0 - 0
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
SPO
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 1
POL
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
EIB
41%
31%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CIU
2 - 2
POL
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LAN
4 - 2
POL
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |