Almería vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
COR
3 - 0
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 1
ECI
42%
28%
30%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALM
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 1
AGD
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
POL
0 - 0
CAD
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
DBN
0 - 1
POL
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
POL
2 - 1
TAL
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
DHE
0 - 0
POL
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
POL
3 - 2
JER
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |