Almería vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ALM
3 - 0
MEL
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
MLL
1 - 2
ALM
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
ALM
1 - 2
CIU
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
MOT
2 - 0
ALM
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALG
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CDZ
0 - 1
CAD
34%
31%
35%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 0
CDZ
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CDZ
1 - 1
AGD
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
MLL
2 - 0
CDZ
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CDZ
1 - 0
ECI
32%
30%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |