Almería vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
XER
0 - 1
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
ALM
3 - 0
YEC
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
CFC
0 - 2
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
ALM
3 - 0
POL
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALM
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
SFE
2 - 0
MEL
49%
28%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 1
SFE
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
SFE
0 - 0
ECI
31%
30%
38%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
SRQ
2 - 1
SFE
47%
30%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
SFE
0 - 1
BET
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |