Almería vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 2
GIR
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALM
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALM
28%
26%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
RMA
8 - 1
ALM
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
XER
0 - 2
GUA
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
UDL
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
MIR
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |