Almería vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PON
1 - 3
ALM
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
MLL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 1
MIR
20%
27%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 1
ATH
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
ATH
2 - 1
OVI
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 2
ATH
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 4
GIM
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |