Almería vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
GET
1 - 1
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ALM
3 - 2
MAL
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 1
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALM
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
ALM
0 - 2
LEG
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ALA
2 - 1
SPO
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 0
ALA
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 1
VAD
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
OSA
4 - 2
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 1
BET
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |