Almería vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
MOT
4 - 1
ALM
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
ALM
0 - 1
ECI
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
PLA
1 - 0
ALM
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ALM
3 - 0
MOR
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ICR
0 - 5
ALM
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
AGD
2 - 0
BET
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
XER
0 - 2
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
AGD
3 - 1
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AGD
1 - 1
MOT
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ECI
1 - 2
AGD
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |