Almería B vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 0
ALM
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 1
ALM
26%
25%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 1
ANT
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
CDT
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
TOR
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
VEL
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 1
ALM
26%
25%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
MEL
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |