Almería B vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ECI
0 - 2
ALM
61%
23%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
SRQ
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALM
70%
20%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
POL
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BET
0 - 1
ALM
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUC
28%
29%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 1
RJA
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROQ
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |