Almería B vs Linares Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
8º
5º
9
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
8 | 69 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 67 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 59 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 45 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 40 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 36 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 33 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 32 |
18º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 35% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
40% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALM
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
BAL
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 2
ALM
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
ALM
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Linares Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
ANT
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
LIN
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 3
RMA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 0
LIN
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |