Almería B vs Recreativo Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
4º
18
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 59 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 48 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 48 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 44 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 35 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
51% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LIN
1 - 0
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALM
1 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 1
ALM
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALM
1 - 3
AGU
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
ORI
39%
28%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 1
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LAU
1 - 0
GRA
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
XER
1 - 0
GRA
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 1
LIN
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |