Almería B vs Atletico Porcuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
11º
7º
21
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALM
11%
19%
70%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PUL
0 - 1
ALM
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 4
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Porcuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAL
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
POZ
3 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
MAN
21%
27%
52%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
CRD
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
CDL
0 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |