Almería B vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
REC
2 - 0
ALM
54%
26%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
JUM
1 - 0
ALM
51%
26%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
UCA
30%
29%
42%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
ALM
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 1
DBN
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 0
JUM
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UCA
3 - 1
MAL
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 2
CAR
20%
26%
54%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DBN
2 - 0
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
GRA
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |