AD Almería vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
ALM
4 - 0
MLL
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
ALM
37%
31%
33%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ALM
0 - 0
CDB
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
XER
0 - 1
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ALM
3 - 1
LLE
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
RMC
4 - 0
BAS
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SSC
0 - 0
RMC
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RMC
2 - 1
CFP
82%
12%
5%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
HUE
0 - 2
RMC
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
RMC
2 - 1
RCF
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |