AD Almería vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
3 - 0
RJA
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
SAB
0 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
2 - 0
LEV
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALM
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 3
ALM
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 0
REC
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1981 |
REC
1 - 0
XER
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
REC
4 - 0
ALA
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SLA
3 - 1
REC
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
REC
2 - 1
ELC
48%
29%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |