Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-1
AD Almería vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
SAB
0 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
2 - 0
LEV
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALM
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 3
ALM
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
0 - 1
XER
55%
27%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ANT
2 - 0
RJA
37%
34%
29%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 1
FCA
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 3
ALM
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
REU
2 - 1
RJA
38%
34%
28%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |