AD Almería vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
RSO
1 - 0
ALM
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
BET
2 - 1
ALM
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
ALM
2 - 0
SLA
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
RMA
4 - 1
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
ALM
1 - 1
BET
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
RAY
2 - 1
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
HER
1 - 1
VCF
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
ATH
2 - 1
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1980 |
RMC
4 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -2 |