AD Almería vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
OLI
1 - 2
ALM
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ALM
1 - 0
LEV
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ATB
2 - 1
ALM
31%
31%
38%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ALM
1 - 1
ELD
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CDZ
1 - 3
ALM
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 0
SEV
71%
19%
9%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 0
GIR
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
GIR
0 - 0
LIN
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
AGD
3 - 0
GIR
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 1
ONT
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |