Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
AD Almería vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ONT
1 - 3
ALM
50%
30%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ALM
2 - 0
VIN
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
JER
1 - 1
ALM
37%
33%
30%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
ALM
2 - 0
CPC
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
MER
1 - 1
ALM
41%
32%
27%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SFE
2 - 0
EST
58%
25%
17%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
MEL
2 - 0
SFE
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
GUA
6 - 0
SFE
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
SFE
0 - 0
BET
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ALG
2 - 1
SFE
64%
23%
12%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |