Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-3
AD Almería vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 0
RCF
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
BET
4 - 0
ALM
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
ALM
3 - 0
TER
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
OSA
1 - 0
ALM
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 1
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
CFC
2 - 1
VAL
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
JOV
3 - 0
CFC
39%
31%
30%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -3 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
CFC
2 - 1
PAT
89%
8%
3%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
CRE
0 - 0
CFC
38%
31%
31%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
CFC
3 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |