AD Almería vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
CCF
4 - 0
ALM
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAL
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
RMC
4 - 1
ALM
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATB
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
GDE
1 - 1
ALM
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAL
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
ATB
3 - 3
BUR
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
BUR
1 - 1
CEL
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
DEP
2 - 1
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
RAY
2 - 0
BUR
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |