Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-2
AD Almería vs CD Badajoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
CDZ
1 - 1
ALM
44%
31%
26%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
ALM
4 - 2
CDB
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
CDB
1 - 2
ALM
43%
30%
27%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ALM
7 - 2
SEV
86%
11%
3%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
POR
0 - 1
ALM
44%
31%
25%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
CDB
1 - 0
MEL
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
ALM
4 - 2
CDB
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
CDB
1 - 1
CPC
61%
24%
15%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
MER
3 - 2
CDB
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
CDB
3 - 2
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |