Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
AD Almería vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VAD
2 - 1
ALM
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 1
RMC
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ALM
4 - 0
MLL
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
ALM
37%
31%
33%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAL
48%
31%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
1 - 0
BAL
53%
29%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 1
AMA
55%
26%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
CPC
1 - 0
MAL
74%
19%
7%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 1
MER
52%
28%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |