Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 7-2
AD Almería vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CDO
2 - 1
ALM
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
LIN
4 - 1
ALM
17%
22%
60%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ALM
2 - 1
AGD
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
MAL
1 - 1
SFE
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
MAL
1 - 1
CDO
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
MAL
4 - 0
POR
47%
29%
24%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAL
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |