AD Almería vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ALM
3 - 1
ZAR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
SLA
2 - 1
ALM
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ALM
2 - 5
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
HER
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
ALM
0 - 2
BET
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LON
0 - 0
ALA
28%
30%
43%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AGD
2 - 1
ALA
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAB
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
ELC
3 - 2
ALA
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
ALA
3 - 3
ATH
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |