Almere City vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
15º
18º
17º
8
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 67 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 63 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 62 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
58.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 5
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
ALM
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
GRO
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 7
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 2
WIL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 0
GAE
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |