Almere City vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 0
ALM
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
SPA
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
EIN
0 - 2
ALM
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 2
GAE
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
ALM
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
34%
26%
41%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
5 - 0
APE
79%
14%
8%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BVO
0 - 2
WIL
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 1
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |