Almere City vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ALM
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 2
ALM
39%
22%
39%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 0
VOL
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
EIN
3 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
PSV
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SUR
2 - 4
HTI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2017 |
TTO
1 - 2
SUR
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
JAM
1 - 0
SUR
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SUR
3 - 2
GUY
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SUR
2 - 1
VCT
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |