Almere City vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
15º
18º
17º
9
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 67 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 63 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 62 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
58.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 7
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ALM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
RKC
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
ALM
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
GRO
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 1
LAM
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |