Almere City vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 2
ALM
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
0 - 2
ALM
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
FCE
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 2
ALM
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MVV
2 - 1
ALM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
FCO
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 6
GAE
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 3
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |