Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
15º
18º
17º
13
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
52.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
RKC
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
ALM
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALM
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
KON
3 - 2
ALM
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
ALM
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 1
AZA
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 1
LHA
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
2 - 2
ATL
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
2 - 1
ARI
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
3 - 0
KVK
77%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |