Jong Almere City vs VV Noordwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
16º
13º
5
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
13 | 72 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 57 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 57 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 57 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 51 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 49 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 46 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 33 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 21 |
18º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 34% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 3
ALM
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 2
ALM
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
ALM
71%
17%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALM
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VV Noordwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 4
NOO
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NOO
4 - 0
DET
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
NOO
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
NOO
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TEL
5 - 3
NOO
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |