Almere City U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
7º
5º
10
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 8
ACY
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEC
3 - 1
ACY
77%
13%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FYN
4 - 1
ACY
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ACY
0 - 0
GRO
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 2
ACY
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
PEC
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
FYN
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |