Almere City U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
1º
1º
17
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEC
3 - 5
ACY
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACY
3 - 2
FYN
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 1
ACY
37%
21%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ACY
5 - 2
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 8
ACY
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Twente / Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
THS
0 - 1
FYN
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
THS
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
THS
0 - 2
NAC
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VVV
1 - 1
THS
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
THS
2 - 0
NEC
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |