Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
UD Almansa vs Vera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Almansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
UDT
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALM
17%
26%
57%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
TOM
69%
20%
12%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 1
ALM
34%
27%
40%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
LPA
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
COR
0 - 2
VER
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 3
VER
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |