Almancilense vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
62.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 0
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
IDE
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
EVN
2 - 0
ALM
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 4
CAS
19%
26%
56%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALM
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 1
ORI
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 3
FAR
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 4
ORI
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OLH
1 - 1
ORI
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |