Almancilense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 0
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OLH
3 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 2
LOU
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OLH
2 - 0
ALM
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MOU
3 - 0
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 3
MOU
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 0
MOU
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 1
FAR
17%
25%
58%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
1DE
1 - 1
MOU
45%
28%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |