Almancilense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
ALM
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 2
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 1
ALM
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
FCB
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 4
ALM
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCC
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 1
LOU
30%
27%
42%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
LUS
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
PIN
27%
26%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |