Almancilense vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
ALM
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ALM
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
ALM
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 2
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 1
LUS
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAB
2 - 1
LOU
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 1
FAB
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SIN
2 - 0
FAB
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 3
COV
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |