Almagro vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
21%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
5 - 0
BRO
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALM
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 0
RSA
41%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
DAL
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
DAL
3 - 3
STM
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 0
DAL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 0
DAL
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |