Almagro vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 1
ALM
48%
25%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
VSC
48%
28%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
33%
30%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALM
40%
27%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SUA
2 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 0
SUA
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SUA
0 - 0
MOR
49%
27%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
SUA
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 1
SUA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |