Almagro vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AND
1 - 3
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 4
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
3 - 1
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
SUA
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
VSC
23%
30%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
ARM
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TEM
4 - 3
STM
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
STM
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
FLA
36%
29%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |