Almagro vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 4
ALM
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
ALM
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
ALM
34%
30%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
STM
2 - 1
PLA
20%
30%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
STM
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
STM
0 - 0
TEM
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
STM
2 - 0
SUA
44%
29%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
STM
72%
20%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |