Almagro vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
AND
1 - 1
ALM
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ALM
2 - 2
TAL
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
IND
2 - 1
ALM
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 3
CEN
15%
22%
64%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ALM
2 - 1
COL
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 1
CON
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
RAC
2 - 0
SLO
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 1
NOB
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
GLP
2 - 2
SLO
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |