Almagro vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ATT
3 - 1
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
ALM
0 - 1
INS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
PLA
1 - 0
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 3
TFE
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 0
SMA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
PLA
0 - 0
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
QUI
4 - 3
CAU
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 1
QUI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 0
GOD
38%
27%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |