Almagro vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BHU
0 - 2
ALM
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 2
IRV
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TAL
4 - 3
ALM
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALD
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
ALM
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
TFE
1 - 1
QUI
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
FER
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 0
QUI
32%
28%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
CAU
1 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |