Almagro vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
26%
61.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
20.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
ALM
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 0
MOR
46%
28%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 3
ALM
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ALM
58%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATL
32%
29%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
QUI
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
CHI
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
NOB
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 1
ALD
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |